Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 1.070393e-03 1.213993e-03 0.001359 0.001517 0.001682 0.001850 0.002033
2025-04-13 8.155912e-04 1.035195e-03 0.001268 0.001530 0.001814 0.002111 0.002442
2025-04-20 5.677459e-04 8.337610e-04 0.001132 0.001481 0.001873 0.002294 0.002774
2025-04-27 3.739014e-04 6.637105e-04 0.001011 0.001436 0.001929 0.002470 0.003099
2025-05-04 2.684576e-04 5.808222e-04 0.000979 0.001486 0.002088 0.002761 0.003553
2025-05-11 1.627648e-04 4.726707e-04 0.000903 0.001474 0.002171 0.002963 0.003908
2025-05-18 6.649741e-05 3.405528e-04 0.000775 0.001387 0.002156 0.003048 0.004126
2025-05-25 1.870042e-05 2.545216e-04 0.000695 0.001349 0.002194 0.003190 0.004407
2025-06-01 2.576880e-08 1.802489e-04 0.000617 0.001304 0.002217 0.003310 0.004660
2025-06-08 NaN 1.317295e-04 0.000567 0.001292 0.002279 0.003473 0.004961
2025-06-15 NaN 1.113186e-04 0.000563 0.001343 0.002417 0.003729 0.005369
2025-06-22 NaN 8.043426e-05 0.000529 0.001346 0.002492 0.003905 0.005681
2025-06-29 NaN 5.321925e-05 0.000499 0.001362 0.002598 0.004136 0.006082
2025-07-06 NaN 3.271272e-05 0.000476 0.001388 0.002721 0.004393 0.006520
2025-07-13 NaN 9.498930e-06 0.000415 0.001351 0.002757 0.004545 0.006835
2025-07-20 NaN 4.593751e-08 0.000359 0.001314 0.002792 0.004694 0.007148
2025-07-27 NaN NaN 0.000355 0.001367 0.002952 0.005001 0.007654
2025-08-03 NaN NaN 0.000320 0.001358 0.003023 0.005197 0.008024
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.000251 0.001276 0.002984 0.005249 0.008217
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.000211 0.001241 0.003011 0.005383 0.008510
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000171 0.001199 0.003023 0.005496 0.008775
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000148 0.001188 0.003082 0.005668 0.009112
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000148 0.001237 0.003231 0.005959 0.009596